Mission Control/ASTEROID DOSSIER: (2016 XD2)
GEMMA ENGINE: LOCAL SERVER BOX [ACTIVE]Launch in 3D City Impact Simulator
NOMINAL CISLUNAR PASSAGEGEMMA ENGINE: LOCAL SERVER BOX [ACTIVE] • meteors-gemma:latest

(2016 XD2)

Tracked by NASA JPL Near-Earth Object Web Service (NeoWs), (2016 XD2) is a S-type (Silicate Stony) body measuring between 41.36m and 92.48m in diameter. On 2026-10-26, it completes a cislunar approach at 168.68 Lunar Distances (64,867,720.1 km) with a relative heliocentric velocity of 19.83 km/s.

LOCAL SERVER-BOX GEMMA SYNTHESIS (http://127.0.0.1:11434/v1):

(2016 XD2) (JPL ID 3765640) is a S-type (Silicate Stony) Near-Earth Asteroid spanning 41.4m–92.5m (mean 66.9m). On 2026-10-26, it transits Earth's cislunar surveillance sector at 168.676 Lunar Distances (64,867,720 km) with a relative velocity of 19.83 km/s and a theoretical kinetic energy reserve of 20.99 megatons TNT. Its well-constrained heliocentric ephemeris passes safely outside Earth capture corridors while serving as an orbital calibration target.

Max Diameter (Ø)
92.48 m
Min: 41.36 m
Miss Distance
168.68 LD
64,867,720.1 km
Rel. Velocity
19.83 km/s
71,374 km/h
Kinetic Energy
58.36 MT
E = ½mv² TNT eq.

Exact Landmark Scale Comparison (92.48m)

1:1 Meter Scale
92.48m
(2016 XD2)
443m
Manhattan
227m
Golden Gate
330m
Eiffel Tower
828m
Burj Khalifa
Inspect side-by-side in interactive Google Earth 3D Tiles:Open 3D Street-Level Simulator

Kinetic Impact Physics & Orbital Parameters

45° Incidence · 3,000 kg/m³
Absolute Magnitude (H)24.04 mag
Spectral ClassificationS-type (Silicate Stony)
Estimated Bolide Mass1.242e+9 kg
Kinetic Energy (E = ½mv²)58.36 MT TNT (2.44e+17 J)
Transient Crater Diameter / Depth2,166 m Ø / 455 m deep
5-PSI Structural Overpressure Radius7.46 km
Thermal 3rd-Degree Burn Radius14.83 km
Equivalent Seismic MagnitudeMw 5.8
Primary Ephemeris Source:NASA JPL Small-Body Database Lookup
OPTICAL TRACKING REQUIREMENTS // PHOTOMETRIC LINK
TIER C: PLANETARY RADAR / SPECIMEN GRADE
Calculated Apparent Magnitude (Vmag)
Vmag +23.78
Abs. Magnitude H = 24.04
Required Aperture (mm)
≥ 1000 mm (Planetary Radar)
Professional ≥1000mm Survey CCD / Planetary Bistatic Radar Telemetry
Best Viewing Window
JPL Goldstone Radar / Vera C. Rubin LSST Ephemeris Window Only
Target: (2016 XD2)

(2016 XD2) (H = 24.0, Vmag ≈ 23.8) is below consumer optical detection thresholds (requires ≥1000mm survey aperture); explore certified meteorite specimens[↗] or indoor optical projection instead.

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Campo del Cielo Meteorite Specimen (Certified Iron-Nickel)

Authentic coarse octahedrite Group IAB iron-nickel meteorite fragment (92.9% Fe, 6.7% Ni) recovered from the Chaco crater field with certificate of authenticity.

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3D Ephemeris Trajectory Waypoints

Node T+0Lat 12.87° · Lon -84.40°136,800 km
Node T+1Lat 18.76° · Lon -74.82°122,617 km
Node T+2Lat 23.44° · Lon -65.23°109,667 km
Node T+3Lat 26.77° · Lon -55.65°97,950 km
Node T+4Lat 28.67° · Lon -46.07°87,467 km
Node T+5Lat 29.10° · Lon -36.48°78,217 km

Planetary Defense Frequently Asked Questions (Schema.org FAQ)

How big is (2016 XD2) compared to city landmarks?

(2016 XD2) has an estimated diameter between 41.36m and 92.48m. At its upper-bound size of 92.48m, it stands 21% as tall as the 443m Empire State Building in New York City and 28% of the 330m Eiffel Tower.

Will (2016 XD2) impact Earth during its 2026-10-26 approach?

No. NASA JPL Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) orbital solutions confirm (2016 XD2) will pass safely at a minimum distance of 168.68 Lunar Distances (64,867,720.1 km). You can still simulate a hypothetical street-level impact in our 3D CesiumJS simulator.

Hall-of-Fame Near-Earth Asteroids & Historic CNEOS Bolides
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(2016 XD2) — 3D Orbit, Size Comparison & Kinetic Impact Physics | Meteors.ai Space Network